Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.325175 0.380597 0.444914 0.525626 0.624988 0.744325 0.900036
2025-07-27 0.250500 0.322789 0.417434 0.552982 0.746452 1.019580 1.447386
2025-08-03 0.205869 0.284330 0.396602 0.574580 0.860701 1.323862 2.179084
2025-08-10 0.173407 0.252365 0.373316 0.581117 0.949504 1.620153 3.057870
2025-08-17 0.149558 0.227002 0.352403 0.582833 1.027250 1.925938 4.143062
2025-08-24 0.130685 0.205360 0.332007 0.578468 1.090221 2.228412 5.437274
2025-08-31 0.115084 0.186185 0.311592 0.568024 1.136348 2.514766 6.927420
2025-09-07 0.105911 0.176439 0.305894 0.584502 1.246045 3.009448 9.536029
2025-09-14 0.095001 0.161853 0.288390 0.571869 1.283159 3.332496 11.928590
2025-09-21 0.087692 0.152855 0.280148 0.577486 1.368529 3.849270 15.852079
2025-09-28 0.080788 0.143663 0.269949 0.576149 1.435327 4.351947 20.585152
2025-10-05 0.076522 0.139055 0.268515 0.595622 1.570189 5.196572 29.143409
2025-10-12 0.072374 0.134279 0.266250 0.613466 1.711925 6.205487 41.994527
2025-10-19 0.068417 0.129424 0.263111 0.628656 1.854534 7.368943 61.033499
2025-10-26 0.065171 0.125664 0.261896 0.649118 2.027695 8.885235 92.693276
2025-11-02 0.061436 0.120382 0.256238 0.655432 2.152800 10.307991 134.613196
2025-11-09 0.057840 0.114997 0.249530 0.657084 2.262259 11.801505 194.545993
2025-11-16 0.054279 0.109304 0.241240 0.651944 2.342501 13.237994 275.571612
2025-11-23 0.050756 0.103338 0.231455 0.639836 2.387705 14.512306 379.191490
2025-11-30 0.048888 0.101042 0.230949 0.658899 2.594159 17.532835 657.261950
2025-12-07 0.045831 0.095618 0.221353 0.644277 2.625599 19.039302 927.203377
2025-12-14 0.043833 0.092559 0.217830 0.650777 2.775877 22.150324 1592.578716
2025-12-21 0.041707 0.088988 0.212428 0.649229 2.883333 25.104918 2680.946814